Wednesday 26 March 2014

NaMo vs AK- The Political Kurukshetra- 2014

In the TV media, the only fight that seems to be happening is between is between Narendra Modi and Arvind Kejriwal. The root of AAP's hostility towards NaMo can be traced to it's electoral ambitions in and around Delhi. Western UP has a 25% muslim population, their make or break strength in Chandni Chowk and Gurgaon, the constituency of key Arvind lieutenant Ashutosh and party ideologue Yogendra Yadav respectively.

The part knew that come LS elections, they would loose a huge percentage of their vote to BJP as it would be fought on one and only one issue - Narendra Modi.
Their chances of a bigger LS tally would hinge on their ability to garner the traditional anti-BJP vote- the sunni muslim vote. Yogendra Yadav sensed an opportunity to garner this vote when he conducted surveys in muslim dominated assembly constituencies and found that a lot of muslims didnt vote for AAP because they did not see it as a strong enough challenger to BJP. The solution to their problem was to attack NaMo in full media glare and make an impact on this perception. Thus Arvind who had all this while, not been to vocal in his opposition to Narendra Modi started writing letter demanding answers (answers which interestingly was already available). The BJP wallahs made a strategic mistake when they decided to ignore Arvind as a temporary urban fad. Even R Jaggannathan of Firstpost opined that NaMo should ignore Arvind by not fighting in Varnasi as it would be akin to handing over candy to Arvind and NaMo would loose a lot of time in Varnasi itself . This proved very costly to them in the long run.


Then the new-age commie decided to do a 'study tour' of Gujrath. The AAP leadership had understood that  their vote share increase will be proportional to their visibility and visibility meant effectively crafting an effective media strategy. The media obviously will lap up anything that is good for their TRPs so AK headed to Gujrath and a huge media contingent from Delhi followed. The most important part of this was these AAPwallahs getting the tactic backing of NDTV they received . NDTV at this point of time was searching for a new torch-bearer for their brand Nehruvian Socialism, and they knew that INC was a spent and if it got anything below 90 seats, the party would disintegrate rapidly. They found one in Arvind.

Their efforts produced a lot of dividends. ET and the Hindu reported how the muslim membership skyrocketed in urban and semi-urban areas.The commie then demanded an audience from NaMo despite having no appointment and made a huge fuss about not getting one. He was relishing the media glare, the visibility it brought. To an uninformed bystander, it would seem that there were only 2 contestants to the PM gaddi- AK and NaMo.

Simultaneously, the middle rung AAP leaders stormed the media studios with their blatant lies about Gujrath accompanied by snippets about true failings of the Gujrath government. To them facts did not matter, they would shout down any person opposing them by branding them as communal and fascists.It was a brilliant political strategy . They utilised NaMo's modus operandi against him and succeeded in their aims to a huge extent. What they didnt realise is that in areas other than NCR and parts of western UP, they had further divided the decisive Muslim vote and helped the BJP immensely .

Then AK travelled to Mumbai and other parts of Maharashtra but made a strategic mistake of his own. In a fund-raising function , he told his audience -

"If our government comes to power then we will set an inquiry into this. And along with media people, all will be sent to jail," .

This was the opportunity the BJP was eagerly waiting for. Arvind's comment ensured 2 things
1)The media would try to avoid a tinge of bias by giving less coverage to NaMo's huge rallys and his speeches in different parts of India. This would help slowdown the NaMo juggernaut. This effect was beneficial to the secularists.
2)  Kejriwal lost the media's goodwill and coverage considerably.

At the same time rumours began floating that AK would take on NaMo in Varnasi. The rumours were further aggravated by unclear statements by senior AAP leaders. These were deliberate and carefully worded statements aimed at regaining media interest in Kejriwal.

The commie announced this in sangh parivar's southern base of operations- Bangalore. The BJP couldnt ignore the challenge any more. There was strong consensus within the top echelons that thay needed to fight back. A lot of BJP leaders started arriving at Ahmedabad to figure out a strategy .It was ingenious and demonstrated the parivars ability to fight back.The strategy was to hit the opponent when and where they least expect it and hit hard enough to turn the tables of the debate.

Just after Arvind made the formal announcement of contest in Varnasi, NaMo made his best and hardest attack yet on AAP- making it out to be a Pakistani Agent and anti-national , while at the same time hitting the Congress where it hurts most- AK Anthony. The AK Anthony attack served a dual purpose-

1- Distracting the strategist in chief from party affairs,as he knew that a distracted, angry Anthony would not be a good strategist.
2- Continue it's strategy to woo the crucial ex-servicemen votebank.

served a dual purpose too-
1) It put AAP on the defensive on an issue that is dear to the urban middle class- National Pride and Security.

2)It signalled the BJP second rung leaders into action,going into attack mode, they turned the tables in such a way that the agenda would now be set by NaMo and NaMo alone.

This as expected lead to an all-out social media was with Arvind tweeting:-
'Did Modi ji call me an agent of Pakistan and AK 49? Kya PM ke daawedar ko ye bhasha use karna shobha deta hai? .....'.

He is clearly on the backfoot and desperate to find a good way to fight back. As of now it is advantage NaMo. What I am sure about is that it will be an entertaining 2 months ahead.


No comments:

Post a Comment